NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BK
Points 106.5 112.2
Total Points   218.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 41.7
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.4
Shooting CHA BK
Field Goals Made 39.8 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 87.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 49.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 20.3
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.0%
Ball Control CHA BK
Rebounds 45.6 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.8
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.6
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 15.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BK
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 99.8
% of Possessions with CHA BK
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 33.4%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.9%
Turnover 12.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 26.3%