NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA IND
Points 110.4 124.1
Total Points   234.5
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 68.3
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 40.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.1
Shooting CHA IND
Field Goals Made 41.5 47.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 90.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 34.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.2%
Ball Control CHA IND
Rebounds 43.8 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.2
Turnovers 12.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.3
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 15.9 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA IND
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 101.6
% of Possessions with CHA IND
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 31.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.6%
Turnover 12.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA IND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 25.0%