NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA IND
Points 110.7 124.4
Total Points   235.1
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 68.9
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 40.1
Points From Free Throws 17.6 15.3
Shooting CHA IND
Field Goals Made 41.6 47.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 90.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.4 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.5%
Ball Control CHA IND
Rebounds 43.8 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.3
Turnovers 12.8 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.4
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 16.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA IND
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 102.0
% of Possessions with CHA IND
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 31.0%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.7%
Turnover 12.5% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA IND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 25.1%