NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA TOR
Points 114.0 114.7
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 62.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 36.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.8
Shooting CHA TOR
Field Goals Made 43.5 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 88.4
Field Goal % 49.1% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.6%
Ball Control CHA TOR
Rebounds 45.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.8
Turnovers 13.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.1
Steals 6.3 6.8
Fouls 15.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA TOR
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 100.4
% of Possessions with CHA TOR
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 15.6% 15.2%
Turnover 12.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA TOR
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 25.1%