NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA HOU
Points 108.3 117.0
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 58.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 40.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.4
Shooting CHA HOU
Field Goals Made 39.7 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 89.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.8%
Ball Control CHA HOU
Rebounds 46.1 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 13.3
Turnovers 12.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.2
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 16.8 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA HOU
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 103.2
% of Possessions with CHA HOU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 32.6%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.6%
Turnover 12.6% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA HOU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 26.9%