NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA SA
Points 108.6 115.0
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 40.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 14.6
Shooting CHA SA
Field Goals Made 41.6 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 88.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 18.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.6%
Ball Control CHA SA
Rebounds 45.2 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.6
Turnovers 12.4 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.6
Steals 7.5 6.2
Fouls 15.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA SA
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 100.0
% of Possessions with CHA SA
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 32.3%
Player Fouled 14.1% 14.8%
Turnover 12.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA SA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 24.6%