NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA GS
Points 107.7 119.9
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 46.3
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.6
Shooting CHA GS
Field Goals Made 39.9 44.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 89.8
Field Goal % 45.2% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 15.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.7%
Ball Control CHA GS
Rebounds 43.7 53.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.4
Turnovers 12.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 14.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA GS
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 101.3
% of Possessions with CHA GS
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 14.8%
Turnover 11.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA GS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 28.6%