NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA WAS
Points 115.2 116.2
Total Points   231.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.4 61.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 39.7
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.8
Shooting CHA WAS
Field Goals Made 43.6 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 89.5
Field Goal % 49.0% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.7 37.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 19.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.8%
Ball Control CHA WAS
Rebounds 48.0 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.0
Turnovers 12.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 6.8 6.5
Fouls 15.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA WAS
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 100.3
% of Possessions with CHA WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 32.0%
Player Fouled 16.4% 14.9%
Turnover 12.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA WAS
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 21.1%