NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA PHI
Points 113.9 120.7
Total Points   234.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 42.5
Points From Free Throws 21.2 19.6
Shooting UTA PHI
Field Goals Made 40.3 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 91.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 21.2 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 24.0
Free Throw % 83.7% 82.0%
Ball Control UTA PHI
Rebounds 51.4 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 13.0
Turnovers 14.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 6.3 7.9
Steals 4.8 8.1
Fouls 16.2 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA PHI
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 104.7
% of Possessions with UTA PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.0%
Turnover 14.2% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA PHI
Shot Blocked 8.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.2%