NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA PHI
Points 110.9 108.6
Total Points   219.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 60.3
Points From 3-Pointers 46.4 30.3
Points From Free Throws 18.3 18.0
Shooting UTA PHI
Field Goals Made 38.6 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.3 89.8
Field Goal % 44.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 45.2 61.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 18.3 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 23.5
Free Throw % 79.6% 76.4%
Ball Control UTA PHI
Rebounds 52.1 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.7 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.6
Turnovers 14.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.2
Steals 5.8 8.3
Fouls 18.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA PHI
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 103.3
% of Possessions with UTA PHI
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 53.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 24.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.1%
Turnover 14.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA PHI
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 22.2%