NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA PHI
Points 113.8 120.5
Total Points   234.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 42.7
Points From Free Throws 21.3 19.6
Shooting UTA PHI
Field Goals Made 40.3 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 91.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 21.3 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 24.0
Free Throw % 83.7% 81.8%
Ball Control UTA PHI
Rebounds 51.4 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 13.0
Turnovers 14.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 6.5 7.9
Steals 4.8 8.0
Fouls 16.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA PHI
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 104.7
% of Possessions with UTA PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.0%
Turnover 14.2% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA PHI
Shot Blocked 8.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 26.0%