NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAC
Points 114.8 123.4
Total Points   238.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 60.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 43.7
Points From Free Throws 19.1 18.8
Shooting UTA LAC
Field Goals Made 41.4 45.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 89.5
Field Goal % 46.4% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.4 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 19.1 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 22.5
Free Throw % 83.7% 83.5%
Ball Control UTA LAC
Rebounds 48.6 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 11.7
Turnovers 13.0 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.1
Steals 5.7 7.7
Fouls 16.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 102.3
% of Possessions with UTA LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAC
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 25.3%