NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAC
Points 115.2 123.1
Total Points   238.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 43.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 18.8
Shooting UTA LAC
Field Goals Made 41.5 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 89.1
Field Goal % 46.7% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.4 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 41.4%
Free Throws Made 19.2 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 22.6
Free Throw % 83.7% 83.0%
Ball Control UTA LAC
Rebounds 48.6 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 11.7
Turnovers 13.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.0
Steals 5.7 7.6
Fouls 16.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAC
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 102.0
% of Possessions with UTA LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAC
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 25.4%