NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAL
Points 117.4 124.7
Total Points   242.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 65.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 40.8
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.5
Shooting UTA LAL
Field Goals Made 43.7 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 88.7
Field Goal % 46.7% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 23.8
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.6%
Ball Control UTA LAL
Rebounds 49.7 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 9.2
Turnovers 13.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 6.3
Steals 6.2 7.3
Fouls 17.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAL
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 102.0
% of Possessions with UTA LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 28.8%
Player Fouled 13.5% 16.8%
Turnover 12.8% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAL
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 20.4%