NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA DEN
Points 112.1 123.2
Total Points   235.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 67.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 39.7
Points From Free Throws 19.9 15.8
Shooting UTA DEN
Field Goals Made 40.6 47.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 91.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 58.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 19.9 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 20.5
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.0%
Ball Control UTA DEN
Rebounds 48.3 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 12.6
Turnovers 12.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 7.1
Steals 5.3 7.0
Fouls 15.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA DEN
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 103.6
% of Possessions with UTA DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.2% 15.8%
Turnover 12.2% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA DEN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.7%