NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA POR
Points 119.6 115.4
Total Points   235.0
Points From 2-Pointers 63.6 59.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 39.6
Points From Free Throws 21.5 16.7
Shooting UTA POR
Field Goals Made 43.3 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 93.4
Field Goal % 50.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.8 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 21.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 21.0
Free Throw % 83.7% 79.4%
Ball Control UTA POR
Rebounds 50.2 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 15.2
Turnovers 14.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 6.4 5.6
Steals 6.7 7.6
Fouls 15.5 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA POR
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 105.4
% of Possessions with UTA POR
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 17.9% 15.1%
Turnover 14.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA POR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 29.1%