NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC CHI
Points 116.5 112.2
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.6 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 47.5 35.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 18.1
Shooting SAC CHI
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 87.3
Field Goal % 47.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.8 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 42.5 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.8
Free Throw % 74.6% 79.2%
Ball Control SAC CHI
Rebounds 49.8 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.6
Turnovers 11.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.9
Steals 6.5 7.0
Fouls 18.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC CHI
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 100.6
% of Possessions with SAC CHI
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 27.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 17.8%
Turnover 11.8% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC CHI
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.9%