NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAC
Points 114.9 114.1
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 42.4 38.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 20.0
Shooting SAC LAC
Field Goals Made 42.5 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 83.7
Field Goal % 47.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 83.0%
Ball Control SAC LAC
Rebounds 48.5 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 9.8
Turnovers 11.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.8
Steals 7.1 6.6
Fouls 18.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAC
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 97.7
% of Possessions with SAC LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 16.4% 18.2%
Turnover 10.9% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAC
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 21.7%