NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC ATL
Points 124.5 116.3
Total Points   240.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 46.6 41.2
Points From Free Throws 16.2 19.6
Shooting SAC ATL
Field Goals Made 46.4 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 88.3
Field Goal % 51.1% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 60.2% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 25.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.3%
Ball Control SAC ATL
Rebounds 49.8 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.7
Turnovers 12.0 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.6
Steals 7.3 6.5
Fouls 18.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC ATL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 103.0
% of Possessions with SAC ATL
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 30.3%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.8%
Turnover 11.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC ATL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.5%