NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAL
Points 117.8 116.0
Total Points   233.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 60.5
Points From 3-Pointers 45.6 35.6
Points From Free Throws 13.2 19.8
Shooting SAC LAL
Field Goals Made 44.7 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 94.7 83.5
Field Goal % 47.2% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 25.6
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC LAL
Rebounds 49.4 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.7
Turnovers 11.3 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 7.7 6.3
Fouls 19.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAL
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 105.2 98.2
% of Possessions with SAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 26.6%
Player Fouled 13.3% 18.6%
Turnover 10.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 17.5%