NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DAL
Points 115.1 115.4
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 42.6
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.6
Shooting SAC DAL
Field Goals Made 42.4 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 85.6
Field Goal % 46.4% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 48.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 24.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 75.4%
Ball Control SAC DAL
Rebounds 51.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.3
Turnovers 11.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.1
Steals 7.1 6.0
Fouls 19.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DAL
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 100.2
% of Possessions with SAC DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 32.5%
Player Fouled 16.0% 19.3%
Turnover 11.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DAL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 19.6%