NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC BK
Points 115.5 109.2
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 51.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.8 39.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.7
Shooting SAC BK
Field Goals Made 42.8 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 86.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 23.3
Free Throw % 74.6% 76.0%
Ball Control SAC BK
Rebounds 51.1 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.0
Turnovers 11.1 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 6.5 6.0
Fouls 17.9 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC BK
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 99.7
% of Possessions with SAC BK
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.7%
Turnover 11.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC BK
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 22.2%