NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC NO
Points 112.6 112.8
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.6 36.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 18.7
Shooting SAC NO
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 84.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 46.3 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 41.8 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.1 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 24.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC NO
Rebounds 47.9 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.0
Turnovers 12.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.7
Steals 6.3 7.2
Fouls 17.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC NO
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 98.5
% of Possessions with SAC NO
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.6%
Turnover 12.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC NO
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 21.6%