NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC NO
Points 112.6 112.3
Total Points   224.9
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.9 36.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 18.6
Shooting SAC NO
Field Goals Made 41.3 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 84.4
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 41.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.9%
Ball Control SAC NO
Rebounds 47.9 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.9
Turnovers 12.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.7
Steals 6.5 7.4
Fouls 17.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC NO
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 98.4
% of Possessions with SAC NO
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.8% 27.7%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.4%
Turnover 12.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC NO
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.4%