NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC SA
Points 117.7 111.9
Total Points   229.5
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 38.4
Points From Free Throws 14.5 16.8
Shooting SAC SA
Field Goals Made 44.8 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 87.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.6
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC SA
Rebounds 50.7 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.1
Turnovers 11.4 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.0
Steals 8.5 6.3
Fouls 17.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC SA
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 100.1
% of Possessions with SAC SA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 29.8%
Player Fouled 14.4% 16.5%
Turnover 11.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC SA
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.8%