NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC OKC
Points 113.2 118.9
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 44.6 39.7
Points From Free Throws 16.7 19.2
Shooting SAC OKC
Field Goals Made 40.8 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 86.2
Field Goal % 45.1% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 16.7 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.4
Free Throw % 74.6% 82.2%
Ball Control SAC OKC
Rebounds 50.3 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 8.5
Turnovers 13.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.2
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 18.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC OKC
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 99.6
% of Possessions with SAC OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 28.7%
Player Fouled 15.9% 18.2%
Turnover 12.9% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC OKC
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 19.0%