NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC GS
Points 116.7 116.5
Total Points   233.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 45.1 44.1
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.7
Shooting SAC GS
Field Goals Made 42.9 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 88.3
Field Goal % 46.6% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 21.5
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.7%
Ball Control SAC GS
Rebounds 49.5 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 38.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 11.6
Turnovers 11.1 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.9
Steals 7.3 6.1
Fouls 16.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC GS
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 101.1
% of Possessions with SAC GS
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.5%
Turnover 10.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC GS
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.2%