NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY MIL
Points 113.1 114.0
Total Points   227.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 42.0
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.5
Shooting NY MIL
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.6 85.2
Field Goal % 45.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.4
Free Throw % 77.3% 78.0%
Ball Control NY MIL
Rebounds 50.2 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 10.3
Turnovers 10.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 16.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY MIL
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 98.4
% of Possessions with NY MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.8%
Turnover 10.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY MIL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 22.2%