NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CHI
Points 114.4 111.0
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.1 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 44.3 34.6
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.2
Shooting NY CHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 87.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.1 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.9 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 20.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 79.3%
Ball Control NY CHI
Rebounds 49.9 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.1
Turnovers 11.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.8
Steals 6.1 6.3
Fouls 16.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CHI
Total Possessions 98.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 99.8
% of Possessions with NY CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.4%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CHI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 25.2%