NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CHI
Points 114.2 111.1
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.7 60.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.5 34.4
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.1
Shooting NY CHI
Field Goals Made 40.7 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 87.6
Field Goal % 46.8% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.3
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.2%
Ball Control NY CHI
Rebounds 49.8 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 12.1
Turnovers 11.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.8
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 16.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CHI
Total Possessions 98.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 99.6
% of Possessions with NY CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.4%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CHI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 25.2%