NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CLE
Points 110.2 109.2
Total Points   219.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 39.3
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.3
Shooting NY CLE
Field Goals Made 40.3 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 84.4
Field Goal % 46.2% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.1
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.2%
Ball Control NY CLE
Rebounds 49.6 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.7
Turnovers 11.6 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.3
Steals 7.0 5.9
Fouls 16.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CLE
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 96.2
% of Possessions with NY CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 32.8%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.0%
Turnover 11.9% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CLE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 23.1%