NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CLE
Points 110.4 110.0
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 40.0
Points From Free Throws 16.6 15.2
Shooting NY CLE
Field Goals Made 40.3 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 84.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.0
Free Throw % 78.0% 76.1%
Ball Control NY CLE
Rebounds 49.4 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 10.9
Turnovers 11.6 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.4
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 16.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CLE
Total Possessions 97.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 96.4
% of Possessions with NY CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.0%
Turnover 11.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CLE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 23.5%