NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY LAC
Points 112.3 112.4
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 37.8
Points From Free Throws 17.1 17.8
Shooting NY LAC
Field Goals Made 41.0 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 84.2
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.4
Free Throw % 77.3% 83.1%
Ball Control NY LAC
Rebounds 49.3 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.6 11.2
Turnovers 10.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 6.8 5.9
Fouls 16.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY LAC
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 96.8
% of Possessions with NY LAC
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.8%
Turnover 11.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY LAC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 24.9%