NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY MEM
Points 114.4 104.5
Total Points   218.9
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 49.3
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 39.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.1
Shooting NY MEM
Field Goals Made 41.4 37.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 86.1
Field Goal % 47.1% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.0
Free Throw % 77.3% 76.6%
Ball Control NY MEM
Rebounds 52.7 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 12.8
Turnovers 12.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.1
Steals 7.4 6.6
Fouls 16.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY MEM
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 98.3
% of Possessions with NY MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 32.6%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.5%
Turnover 13.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY MEM
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 25.4%