NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CHA
Points 116.1 104.9
Total Points   220.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 53.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.1 36.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.1
Shooting NY CHA
Field Goals Made 42.9 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 84.5
Field Goal % 48.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.1 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.9%
Ball Control NY CHA
Rebounds 51.8 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 9.7
Turnovers 11.8 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.2
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 15.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CHA
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 94.9
% of Possessions with NY CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 31.5%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.8%
Turnover 12.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CHA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 20.6%