NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY BK
Points 112.8 107.6
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 39.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.9
Shooting NY BK
Field Goals Made 41.3 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 86.6
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.9
Free Throw % 77.3% 76.0%
Ball Control NY BK
Rebounds 51.6 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 12.7
Turnovers 10.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.0
Steals 6.2 5.4
Fouls 16.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY BK
Total Possessions 98.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 99.0
% of Possessions with NY BK
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 32.3%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.3%
Turnover 11.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY BK
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 25.6%