NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DEN
Points 109.4 113.5
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.7 34.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 14.9
Shooting NY DEN
Field Goals Made 39.9 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 87.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 18.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 19.4
Free Throw % 78.0% 76.8%
Ball Control NY DEN
Rebounds 48.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 11.9
Turnovers 10.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.5
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 15.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DEN
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 98.5
% of Possessions with NY DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.2%
Turnover 10.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DEN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.1%