NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY IND
Points 116.3 119.2
Total Points   235.4
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 66.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 37.7
Points From Free Throws 20.5 15.1
Shooting NY IND
Field Goals Made 42.3 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 88.6
Field Goal % 47.7% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 20.5 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 19.5
Free Throw % 77.4% 77.5%
Ball Control NY IND
Rebounds 49.1 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 11.3
Turnovers 11.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.8
Steals 6.0 5.7
Fouls 16.1 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY IND
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 99.9
% of Possessions with NY IND
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 16.1%
Turnover 11.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY IND
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 25.1%