NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY SA
Points 115.0 110.3
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 37.9
Points From Free Throws 15.9 15.0
Shooting NY SA
Field Goals Made 43.2 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 87.8
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 58.8 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control NY SA
Rebounds 51.2 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.6
Turnovers 11.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 6.0
Steals 8.0 5.6
Fouls 15.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY SA
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 99.3
% of Possessions with NY SA
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 31.1%
Player Fouled 15.1% 15.3%
Turnover 11.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY SA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 24.0%