NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY PHO
Points 111.7 113.0
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 37.0
Points From Free Throws 17.0 18.2
Shooting NY PHO
Field Goals Made 40.6 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 83.1
Field Goal % 44.4% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 17.0 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.5
Free Throw % 77.3% 80.9%
Ball Control NY PHO
Rebounds 48.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.0 11.1
Turnovers 10.7 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.4
Steals 7.6 5.8
Fouls 17.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY PHO
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 96.6
% of Possessions with NY PHO
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.4%
Turnover 10.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY PHO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 25.2%