NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY GS
Points 114.6 115.1
Total Points   229.6
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 43.9
Points From Free Throws 17.3 14.9
Shooting NY GS
Field Goals Made 41.5 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 88.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 37.9 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.2
Free Throw % 77.4% 77.7%
Ball Control NY GS
Rebounds 50.0 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 13.4
Turnovers 10.9 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 6.9 5.4
Fouls 15.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY GS
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 100.4
% of Possessions with NY GS
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 32.9%
Player Fouled 17.1% 15.2%
Turnover 11.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY GS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 27.8%