NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL PHI
Points 114.5 113.6
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.6 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 39.3
Points From Free Throws 20.1 16.6
Shooting LAL PHI
Field Goals Made 41.7 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 93.0
Field Goal % 49.8% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 20.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 20.2
Free Throw % 77.7% 82.1%
Ball Control LAL PHI
Rebounds 49.1 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.8
Turnovers 13.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.8
Steals 5.3 7.8
Fouls 13.9 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL PHI
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.3 104.2
% of Possessions with LAL PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 13.6%
Turnover 12.9% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL PHI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.5%