NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL MEM
Points 117.7 108.3
Total Points   225.9
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 51.5
Points From 3-Pointers 37.2 42.8
Points From Free Throws 19.0 13.9
Shooting LAL MEM
Field Goals Made 43.1 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.2 92.9
Field Goal % 51.2% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 40.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 18.2
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.6%
Ball Control LAL MEM
Rebounds 50.2 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 41.2 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.3
Turnovers 14.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 6.3 5.8
Steals 7.1 8.3
Fouls 14.1 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL MEM
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 103.3
% of Possessions with LAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 33.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 13.7%
Turnover 13.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL MEM
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 24.4%