NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL MEM
Points 117.6 107.7
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 42.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 14.0
Shooting LAL MEM
Field Goals Made 43.2 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 92.6
Field Goal % 51.2% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 39.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.8 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 18.3
Free Throw % 77.5% 76.6%
Ball Control LAL MEM
Rebounds 50.2 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 41.2 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 13.2
Turnovers 14.1 13.3
Blocked Shots 6.2 5.6
Steals 7.1 8.2
Fouls 14.0 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL MEM
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 103.0
% of Possessions with LAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 33.6%
Player Fouled 17.5% 13.6%
Turnover 13.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL MEM
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 24.3%