NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL ATL
Points 125.1 118.0
Total Points   243.1
Points From 2-Pointers 67.7 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 44.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.3
Shooting LAL ATL
Field Goals Made 46.7 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 95.7
Field Goal % 54.1% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 62.3% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 19.6
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.3%
Ball Control LAL ATL
Rebounds 48.0 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 13.9
Turnovers 12.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.1
Steals 6.6 7.2
Fouls 14.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL ATL
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 107.0
% of Possessions with LAL ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 32.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 13.6%
Turnover 12.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL ATL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 26.0%