NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CHA
Points 119.2 108.1
Total Points   227.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 39.9
Points From Free Throws 17.1 12.2
Shooting LAL CHA
Field Goals Made 44.8 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.8 90.5
Field Goal % 52.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 15.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.9%
Ball Control LAL CHA
Rebounds 49.3 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.0
Turnovers 12.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.9
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 13.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CHA
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 99.4
% of Possessions with LAL CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 32.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 13.0%
Turnover 12.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 19.8%