NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL UTA
Points 125.0 117.6
Total Points   242.6
Points From 2-Pointers 65.1 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 41.9
Points From Free Throws 18.6 16.1
Shooting LAL UTA
Field Goals Made 46.3 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 93.8
Field Goal % 52.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 18.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 19.2
Free Throw % 77.8% 83.7%
Ball Control LAL UTA
Rebounds 46.2 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 13.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 6.4 5.1
Steals 7.3 6.3
Fouls 14.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL UTA
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 104.8
% of Possessions with LAL UTA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.9%
Player Fouled 16.9% 13.5%
Turnover 10.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL UTA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 27.3%