NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL ORL
Points 110.6 110.7
Total Points   221.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 59.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 35.8
Points From Free Throws 19.1 15.7
Shooting LAL ORL
Field Goals Made 40.5 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 81.1 89.2
Field Goal % 50.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 19.1 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 20.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.8%
Ball Control LAL ORL
Rebounds 45.3 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 12.4
Turnovers 14.3 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.8
Steals 7.1 8.2
Fouls 15.6 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL ORL
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 95.2 101.5
% of Possessions with LAL ORL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.9% 15.3%
Turnover 14.1% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL ORL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 24.9%