NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL BK
Points 116.1 111.0
Total Points   227.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.4 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 42.4
Points From Free Throws 18.0 13.8
Shooting LAL BK
Field Goals Made 43.1 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 92.9
Field Goal % 50.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 38.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 18.0 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 18.1
Free Throw % 77.5% 76.0%
Ball Control LAL BK
Rebounds 49.1 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 13.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.6
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 13.7 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL BK
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 103.5
% of Possessions with LAL BK
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 33.3%
Player Fouled 17.2% 13.5%
Turnover 11.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL BK
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.5%