NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL DEN
Points 112.2 115.6
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 65.3
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 37.3
Points From Free Throws 18.7 13.1
Shooting LAL DEN
Field Goals Made 41.7 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 92.5
Field Goal % 48.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 59.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 18.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 16.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.9%
Ball Control LAL DEN
Rebounds 46.1 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.0
Steals 6.0 6.7
Fouls 13.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL DEN
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 102.2
% of Possessions with LAL DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 13.5%
Turnover 11.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL DEN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.6%