NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL IND
Points 120.8 123.2
Total Points   244.0
Points From 2-Pointers 70.2 68.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 40.6
Points From Free Throws 22.1 13.7
Shooting LAL IND
Field Goals Made 44.6 48.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 95.9
Field Goal % 52.0% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 35.1 34.4
2 Pointers Attempted 60.1 59.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 22.1 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 28.5 17.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control LAL IND
Rebounds 47.3 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.6
Turnovers 12.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.6
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 14.0 20.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL IND
Total Possessions 105.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 105.8
% of Possessions with LAL IND
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 13.3%
Turnover 12.1% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL IND
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 23.3%